in reply to Is guessing a good strategy for surviving in the IT business?
Define: guess.
I frequently arrive at a conclusion about something; without being able to justify why. I never deny it.
- Cop shows call it: going with their gut.
- Women prefer to call it: their intuition.
- Athletes, dancers and woodworkers may refer to it as: muscle memory.
- You may call what I'm describing: an informed guess.
- A bookmaker might call it: the odds on favorite.
- A gambler may call it: lady luck.
- A snooker player: the percentage shot.
- A scientist: fortuitous.
- An engineer: the experience call.
- A statistician: the median outcome.
I tend to call it the "obvious choice in the absence of more data"; or "the logical choice given what is known".
Hindsight can be 20/20; but it can also take 20 years; or 20 decades; or 20 centuries.
No decision may be the wrong decision; but only if there is no more time in which to acquire more data. A premature decision is the worst decision of all.
With the rise and rise of 'Social' network sites: 'Computers are making people easier to use everyday'
Examine what is said, not who speaks -- Silence betokens consent -- Love the truth but pardon error.
"Science is about questioning the status quo. Questioning authority".
In the absence of evidence, opinion is indistinguishable from prejudice.
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