Beyond the precedence problem, you are mixing two pieces of syntax that should not go together. When dealing with modifiers, if you are in doubt, try to read the statement outloud. If it doesn't make sense to you, then it is likely to be incorrect, not syntactically, but semantically.
(BTW, the statement with "if" was giving back a correct result. hopes modification makes both results the same, but both wrong!)

Now, let's point out a semantic problem that you might face using code like this.
Perl statement modifiers were designed to simplify reading, not to complicate it.
If your idea was to print "Get Lost!" when $nice is false, and "Hi" otherwise, then you should use a syntax that allows for alternatives.
Statements like this one (especially with dubious semantics) can confuse both the programmer and the reviewer.
My choice would be:

sub hello3 {
    if ($nice) {
        return "Hi"
    }
    else {
       return "Get Lost!"
    }
}
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Now, in this snippet it's easy to understand what I want. I would even use the ternary operator, because (once you get used to it) it is clear what it means.

sub hello3 {
    return $nice ? "Hi" : "Get Lost!"
}
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I use "unless" in cases where the alternative is not needed.

print "you were asking for it!" unless $nice;

# or a return statement,
# when you just need to check a requirement 
# in the middle of a sub

sub hello {
    return "get lost" unless $nice;
    # more statements
    return "hi"
}
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"or" should be used after an assertive statement ("You behave or I teach you a lesson").

$nice > 0 or print "Now I am goin to teach you ...";
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