So I'm going to take a crack at a *very* rough guess:

- ~17yrs == yrs since PM began
- ~70k == avg posts/yr
- ~44567 == post remaining to hit target

[download]

Given that, and the known decline in traffic over the last few years, I'll say we hit the target on August 19, 2018, which ironically, will be my 10th birthday here as a signed-up, non-lurking participant (I was a lurker for eight years or so).

For semi-reasonable statistical estimates, we need either someone who can really poll the DB to create a more accurate prediction, or BrowserUk, as I believe he can sit and figure this kind of stuff out in his head.

For the record: 2018-08-19

In reply to Re: Too soon for guesses on when node #1234567 will arrive? by stevieb
in thread Too soon for guesses on when node #1234567 will arrive? by talexb

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