You look like you might be trying to predict things like the stock market. If so, then please note that both theory and practice indicate that stock prices follow a random walk. There is no correlation between what they have done in the past and what they will do in the future. (Other than an overall tendancy to climb about 10% per year. OTOH that is a trend which we are currently well above the historical average for...)

Thus a computer program to predict the prices is unlikely to yield anything useful. Though our human tendancy to see patterns whether or not they are there will cause you to find all sorts of spurious things if you tinker enough..spurious connections that won't hold up with future data.

In reply to Re: Bayesian not-for-spam by tilly
in thread Bayesian not-for-spam by Kickstart

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