in reply to Marilyn Vos Savant's Monty Hall problem
If you stay with your first choice, you have 1/3 chance of getting the car.
If you switch, there is 2/3 chance of getting the car:
2/3 chance you will pick a goat on the first pick, he reveals the other goat, and then you switch to the car.
1/3 chance you will pick a car, he reveals a goat, and you switch to the other goat.
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Re^2: Marilyn Vos Savant's Monty Hall problem
by mutated (Monk) on Aug 31, 2004 at 13:00 UTC |