in reply to Re (tilly) 2: If given a choice....
in thread I prefer what's behind
You switch: You pick: He shows: Result: Loser (2/3) Loser (1/2) Win! (1/3) Loser (2/3) Winner (1/2) Lose (1/3) Winner (1/3) Loser (1/1) Lose (1/3) You don't switch: You pick: He shows: Result: Loser (2/3) Loser (1/2) Lose (1/3) Loser (2/3) Winner (1/2) Lose (1/3) Winner (1/3) Loser (1/1) Win! (1/3)So, if the announcer doesn't know where the prize is, but just reveals one of the other doors randomly, no matter what you do you have a 1/3 chance of picking the winning door.
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