Re^2: Running a simulation - expected outcome

Your analysis is based on the probablity of infection. The original analysis is based on the probablility of avoiding infection. It seems to me the result should be the same. I do see a minor "off by one" error in the original because it ignores the fact that he cannot move to the uninfected cell that he is already on.

Bill

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Re^3: Running a simulation - expected outcome by BrowserUk (Patriarch) on Sep 30, 2012 at 05:35 UTC
Okay. But surely, one is just 1 - the other. I reckon the answer to be 0.373 / 0.617 on the basis of my own simulation; but I cannot make the math fit. With the rise and rise of 'Social' network sites: 'Computers are making people easier to use everyday' Examine what is said, not who speaks -- Silence betokens consent -- Love the truth but pardon error. "Science is about questioning the status quo. Questioning authority". In the absence of evidence, opinion is indistinguishable from prejudice. RIP Neil Armstrong	[reply]

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Re^3: Running a simulation - expected outcome
by BrowserUk (Patriarch) on Sep 30, 2012 at 05:35 UTC

Okay. But surely, one is just 1 - the other.

I reckon the answer to be 0.373 / 0.617 on the basis of my own simulation; but I cannot make the math fit.

With the rise and rise of 'Social' network sites: 'Computers are making people easier to use everyday'

Examine what is said, not who speaks -- Silence betokens consent -- Love the truth but pardon error.

"Science is about questioning the status quo. Questioning authority".

In the absence of evidence, opinion is indistinguishable from prejudice.

RIP Neil Armstrong

[reply]